Join us as we follow all of the NFL Week 2 odds, predict their movement, and tell you when and where to place your NFL picks. Where is their value to be found, or are you too late to the party? Find out who we are jumping on.
NFL Picks: Line Movement Update
By: Jordan Sharp -
Line movement has been slow these last few days, but there have been some
public shifts as well as some half points here and there that have moved.
Let’s now look 24 hours before the start of the early games, and see if
any late action will sway these lines one way or the other.
the public being on Indianapolis as home underdogs, the line has moved from
opening as a pick 'em to now favoring the Vikings on the road at -3. Hope you
got in on that one when the number was below three, but there is probably still
value there, considering the line is a valuable -3/+3.
dropping from +9 underdogs, the Bucs are starting to see the majority of the
public’s money. The line has dropped to -7, and I don’t think the public got
into the line until it was +7 ½ Bucs or +7 as it currently sits. Still, I think
the Giants are the way to go in this one.
finally starting to see some money come back in on the Eagles as they host Baltimore,
but the public is still well over 70% on the Ravens on the road. That line you
can find anywhere from -1 to -3 in favor of Philly, and I can tell you that I
think the books are trying to play people with this line. The play might be the
Eagles at -1.
that half point we saw in the Browns game is now gone. What little bit of
cash that came in on Cleveland has disappeared over the last 24 hours, and the
line has all but settled back up to -7 in favor of the Bengals.
Good luck everyone, I’ll see you next week for Week 3!
NFL Picks: Friday Week 2 Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp -
Friday, which means it’s the end of the workweek, and the day of injury reports
for the NFL. So, let’s take a look at some of the line movement we have seen
over the last 24 hours. While there hasn’t been much, there have been a few
games that we need to note.
and the Giants’ line has settled finally. After opening at -9 in favor of the
home Giants, sharp action has moved this line down to -7 in favor of the home
team. Tampa Bay has seen most of the public action, but that should not be
enough to drop the line by two whole points. Sharp action on the Bucs’
moneyline, and probably some teasers have been hitting the books as well, which
led to the line lowering. I don’t expect any more movement in this line.
to the Bucs vs. Giants, the Texans vs. Jaguars line has also settled down to -7
in favor of the road Texans, after opening at -9. Nine points is a lot for any
road team, especially in a divisional battle.
Follow our Free NFL Picks for all of this weekend's matchups.
the Bengals have seen most of the action on -7, the road Browns are finally
getting some love. Cleveland has dropped ever so slightly to +6 ½ at some
shops, and we have seen the money on this game even up to 50/50.
the Sunday afternoon game between the Jets and Steelers has leveled off to -5
in favor of the Steelers. It opened at -7, and I think the public and sharps
may be on the same side in this game.
eye out for my Saturday update, and as always, good luck on Week 2!
NFL Picks: Thursday Week 2 Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp -
will officially kick off tonight, as a Thursday night battle between the Bears vs. Packers will be underway before we know it. We have seen some overnight
movement in that game, as well as some others. Let’s have another look at the
NFL Odds, and see what new value is emerging.
of Bears vs. Packers, that line has dropped now, as I suspected it would. It
got bet up early, but overnight, the public’s money has steadied to dead even.
However, the line dropped overnight from -6 Packers to -5. This can only mean
that some sharp money came in on Chicago overnight. I am picking the Bears to
cover in this one.
Read my free pick on this game's total here.
the public being heavy on the Saints, the line has been dropping. You can find
the Panthers taking points anywhere from +2 ½ to +1, after opening as +3
underdogs in some cases.
money on the San Diego and Tennessee game is still all over the Chargers.
Public money is 88% with the Chargers, but the line did drop a point from where
it opened. It now sits at -6 in favor of the Chargers at home. I expect it to
drop some more by week’s end.
that the sharps and public might both be on is the Jets and Steelers. The Jets
opened as +7 underdogs on the road, but have been steadily dropping. They now sit
at +5 ½ in some cases, and +6 at other shops. I don’t know if the Jets can have
another performance like they did in Week 1, because Pittsburgh will be dying for a win.
NFL Picks: Wednesday Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp -
Movements so far for the NFL Odds for Week 2 have been kind of slow, but we have seen some inflation in a few key lines. Let’s take a look at what NFL Odds look like for Wednesday, and see if it gives us a clue as to where they are going throughout the week.
The Miami Dolphins and Oakland Raiders meet up this week in Florida, and the Dolphins opened as even, but action on the Raiders has moved the line anywhere from -1 to -3 in favor of Oakland. Home underdogs cashed in three out of five games last week, and while I think the Raiders are the play, be careful of the inflation in the line. Plus, the public is heavy on the Raiders, and in Week 1, the public was only 6-10 ATS.
We are starting to see a dip in the Patriots and Cardinals line, and even though it was announced that John Skelton will not go in the game, we are starting to see a bit of love for the Cardinals. The line is averaging around -13 ½ in favor of New England, and if it goes any lower, I am going to have to hit it. This has blow out written all over it.
Some of the late games Sunday are starting to drop a bit as well. Titans vs. Chargers, Jets vs. Steelers and Lions vs. 49ers have all opened at -7 in favor of the home teams, and almost all of them have dropped a point to -6.
Of these games, the one that catches my eye the most is the Tennessee and San Diego line. An unwarranted 88% of the public is on the Chargers, but the line has dropped instead of raising. Watch this line carefully throughout the week.
NFL Picks: Tuesday Odds Update
By: Jordan Sharp -
are open and on the move for Week 2 of the NFL, and we have several matchups that need
updating. I am already seeing some value, and it is only Tuesday. However,
we do have a Thursday night game, and with NFL Odds on the move, the time to
strike may be now.
and Green Bay hook up in just a few evenings, and after the Packers’ loss in
Week 1, they will certainly want to get back on the winning track this
Thursday. Despite losing to the 49ers at home, Green Bay opened this one as -4
favorites, and now have moved two points since Sunday evening to -6.
I’m a Bears homer, but the Packers could very well lose this game. They didn’t
look spectacular Sunday, and now they might be without their best receiver,
Greg Jennings, who is dealing with a groin injury. I’m waiting to see if the
Bears take any more points, but I’m about to strike this line.
sportsbooks are joining in on lowering the Texans as road favorites in Jacksonville.
As I predicted, sharp money is forcing down that line, and now only a few books
have the Texans as -9 favorites still. Most have moved to -7 or -7 ½, and I
expect all of them to do the same by game time. If you like Jags +9, I suggest
you take it now.
we are starting to see some movement in the New Orleans and Carolina game. The
Panthers are home dogs, but they are starting to see their line dip. After
opening as +2 ½ home underdogs, books have started to move is down. You can now
get the Saints at -1 on the road this week in Carolina at a few shops.
NFL Picks: Week 2 Opening Odds
By: Jordan Sharp -
2 NFL odds are out, and there are already some that stick out, and others that
have moved a lot over night. We had an epic Week 1, and the books took
advantage, beating the public in nine of the 14 games as of Monday morning.
Let’s take a look at these Week 2 NFL Odds, and see if there were any emerging
trends from Week 1 that affect the Week 2 lines.
Night Football should be an epic clash. The line came out to favor the Packers
by -4, but now has moved to -5. Early action came in on the Packers, but if the
line continues to move upward, I can guarantee the sharps will be pounding the
Bears taking +6 or more. These divisional games are always close, and we saw
this week that the Packers are beatable. The Bears looked sharp, but they were facing
Bay and the Giants get at one another Sunday, and while the line opened at -9
in favor of the Giants, half the books have moved the line to -7 ½ already. The
Bucs looked good against the Panthers, especially on defense. Cam Newton was
getting hurried, hit and sacked often. This one is coming down throughout the
week. I can see the NFL betting lines settling around the touchdown mark.
early line that is coming down is New England and Arizona. After both teams got
a win in Week 1, the Patriots opened as -14 ½ home favorites. The line has been
moving down since then, but for some reason, I’m not buying it. John Skelton
was carted off the field in Week 1, and we all remember how bad Kevin Kolb was
last season. I don’t care if he led a drive to win the game in Week 1. Kolb and
this offense don’t click, and against Tom Brady and New England, that spells
blowout. If the line drops too low, I’m going to jump. It currently sits at -13
½ Patriots. If I see -12 ½ or lower, I’m laying the points, and you would be smart to add them to your NFL picks as well.
that is only posted at a few sportsbooks has also caught my eye. BetOnline has the Raiders
at -1 ½ over the Dolphins on the road. The Greek has it at -3 Raiders. I can
see the Raiders winning tonight’s game by a good margin, and if that’s the
case, this line will rocket upwards.
and Jacksonville is another divisional rivalry in Week 2, and after the line
opened at -9 in favor of the road Texans, it has dropped to -8 ½ and -7 ½ in
some instances. Big road favorites were both winners against the spread in Week
1, but this line will probably level around the -7 ½ or -8 area. Still, I think
the Texans can cover that easily if all goes well.
the Sunday Night Football line between the Lions and 49ers has dropped just a
bit, but I expect it to be the one that rises some throughout the week.
Handshake-gate should be a hard-hitting reunion, and the 49ers are currently,
-6 ½ favorites. I think that number will go up one or two points by weeks end.
I have a feeling the 49ers could win by double digits.