While some will have you believe there is no value in preseason betting, I view it as opportunistic betting. While some games are only for serious gamblers, others have great value. I have identified a few value picks, and they’ll be the ones I’ll be on Friday night.
Jets vs. Bengals
Bengals come in as NFL odds favorites of -1 ½, but I’m sailing with the
opposite ship. Even though I don’t think the Jets will be very good in the
regular season, they have a lot more to get together this preseason than the
Bengals do. While the Bengals needed the preseason more in 2011, the Jets need
it in 2012. Tim Tebow is competing for Mark Sanchez's job and, no matter which one ends up the starter, Tebow will
need his package in the wildcat installed, which will take longer than a few
weeks of training camp.
also have more evaluation to do when it comes to their defense. The Jets
have Quinton Coples coming in as a rookie defensive end. I just don’t see the
Bengals caring too much about this one, and I’m taking the points with New
My Pick: Jets +1 1/2
Cardinals vs. Chiefs
If you watched the Hall of Fame game, you’ll know why I am running away from
the Cardinals to take the Chiefs. I was on the wrong side of the Hall of Fame
game. The Cardinals looked so bad, I don’t know what they are going to do. Their
supposed “starter” at quarterback looked awful, and their backup wasn’t much
better against a Saints’ defense that isn’t that good.
the Chiefs, who were banged-up last season, who bring back the best young
safety in the league in Eric Barry. I doubt the Cardinals score against their
third string, let alone the first few series with the starters.
My Pick: Chiefs -2 ½
Vikings vs. 49ers
play of the day is the Friday late game between Minnesota and San Francisco.
The Vikings come in missing their best player while the Niners come in
stocked to the brin and ready to let out some of that frustration from the NFC Title
game loss. The Niners have a lot of new moving parts, including a lot of
Vikings, on the other hand, don’t need any more injuries, so I doubt their main
players see too much time. San Francisco will need the entire first half and
probably some of the second to take a look at the massive depth on their
roster, especially on offense. With that being said, they already have a
crippling defense. Their offense will play pretty well in this game, and I see
them winning by double figures.
Pick: 49ers -3