5* graded play on the Giants as they take on the Jets Saturday. Now, if only this were the regular season, the game would take on
the character and excitement of an MLB subways series between the Mets and the
I maintain that Tim Tebow is a man, a player, and a leader that I would want on my team. I also
believe that his ability to run the "wild cat" will be highly successful and that, as a result, the Jets will turn the entire offense over to him. This would of course be unfortunate for Sanchez but, let's face it, he was far
down the list in the majority of offensive stats in 2011. The
Jets are a dysfunctional team and, even in a preseason game, the Giants can
dominate for four quarters.
The Giants lost to the
Jacksonville Jaguars last week in the preseason opener for both clubs. Jacksonville
was installed as a 2 ½ point favorite, proof that the Giants never show much concern in the NFLX prep season. They did cover in
their 32-31 loss to the Jags, however.
Giants quarterback Eli Manning
saw limited action, completeing four of eight passes for 60 yards and a 7.5
yards per pass attempt average. Solid numbers despite such a small sample size.
Head Coach Tom Coughlin fully understands that there is nothing to gain by having Manning play
more in the preseason than a couple of cameos.
Backup quarterback Ryan
Perrilloux was impressive in his first action, completing six of seven pass
attempts while demonstrating command of the huddle. Out of Jacksonville
State, he has elite athleticism at 6-3, 205 pounds. More important, he made correct reads of the different
looks and schemes thrown at him by Jacksonville. So, the Giants have a solid backup quarterback
developing in the background of Eli Manning.
Aside from the
media frenzy surrounding the Jets, the biggest news is that the Giants defensive line
has been weakened significantly with the loss of Shaun Rogers for the season.
There was some positive news, however, with the announcement out of Giants camp that Chris Canty is ahead
of schedule in his return from his injury. The Giants have been riddled with injuries in nearly every season recently. Last year it was the secondary that
suffered, but the coaches nonetheless molded those that played into a
formidable unit. I am confident that Coughlin and his staff will perform the
same "operation" and once again be a dominant team in the NFC East this season.
Here is a supporting system that
has gone an impressive 25-11, using the preseason money line for 69% winners, and
has made 15.2 units per one unit wagered since 1993. Play against any team
using the money line off a road loss and now facing an opponent off an
extremely close road loss by three points or less.
The simulator shows a high
probability that the Giants will win this game; it also projects that the
Jets will struggle on offense and gain five or fewer passing yards per attempt
in this game. In past games, the Jets are just 8-18 using the money line and
have lost 12.4 units per one unit wagered when they have gained five or fewer
passing yards per attempt since 1993.
Pick: Giants for the win.