Another crazy week of NFL football is in the books. Moving on to Week 10, are there any clear spots for us to beat the books? Find out who we are adding to our NFL picks this weekend, as we try to uncover the best value on the board.
With only seven weeks left in the regular season, we've
really got to make the most of our NFL picks before the playoffs arrive. Inside
you'll find two plays that we're feeling very confident in for Week 10's action.
Be sure to check out SBR's
NFL Picks Week 10 Value Plays
NFL Picks: Week 10 Fades & Games to Avoid
Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins
We know the Titans have been beyond bad this season (3-6 SU,
3-6 ATS), but do you really believe the Dolphins should be a touchdown favorite
Miami's done better than most predicted and have won three of
their last four. However, the Dolphins still have problems.
For one, the Dolphins are ranked #23 in both total offense
and defense. Yes, those numbers are based strictly on yards, but it's still not
a good sign regardless. Miami may have one of the NFL's best run defenses, yet
they've been god awful against the pass.
Matt Hasselbeck has been far from good, but he can still
sling the ball around a little. He should be able to move the Titans up and
down the field against the Dolphins, considering they're allowing 298.2 YPG
through the air.
This Tennessee offense, while underperforming, still has
plenty of weapons, including Chris Johnson, Kenny Britt, Nate Washington and
And, don't forget about what transpired last week. The
Titans were embarrassed at LP Field by the Chicago Bears, and one would expect
they'll show some pride and really come out and give the Dolphins a run for
With the owner calling out the entire organization after
that loss to the Bears, look for Tennessee to come out with something to prove.
We know they can win games, but when it gets bad it gets really bad.
Still, we're siding with the Titans to make a game of it in Week 10.
NFL Pick: Tennessee Titans +7
Follow our full coverage on the Titans & Dolphins game.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New Orleans Saints
Are Drew Brees and the Saints about to hand the Falcons
their first loss of the season?
We suspect they just might.It's hard to find anything negative to say about Atlanta.
That spotless 8-0 record speaks for itself, but the Falcons aren't invincible
whatsoever. They have some weaknesses.
Their biggest weakness, in fact, has been the New Orleans
Saints. The Saints have won three straight in the head-to-head series, both
straight up and against the spread. Last season they smashed the Falcons 45-16
at the Superdome, with Brees throwing four touchdown passes in the rout.
The Falcons are much-improved defensively this season, yet
they still give up their fair share of points and yardage. They're #18 in total
defense, though most of their issues have come against the run (127.5 YPG) more
than anything else.
Still, Brees has a tendency to dominate regardless of the
defense he's facing. He may take this matchup a little personally too,
considering Matt Ryan is getting all the MVP love, rightly so we may add.
The Superdome is the house Brees built though and he's going
to do his darnedest to protect it. He's thrown 170 TD passes in 81 games there.
Throw in the fact he owns a career 99.2 rating against Atlanta (with 27 TD
versus 12 INT) in 13 career matchups and you'll see why I'm taking the Saints
to bring it on Sunday.
You've got to give credit to Ryan and the Falcons for what
they've been able to do, but backing New Orleans as home dogs is too attractive
to pass over.
NFL Pick: New Orleans Saints +2.5
Follow our coverage of the Falcons & Saints matchup.
Best of luck with your sports picks this weekend! Make
sure you check out the updated line movements over at SBRodds.com before making
your selections. Don't miss out on potential value.