With only one month left in the regular season, we better start cracking down and making our NFL picks really count. Inside you'll find two plays that look almost too good to pass up. Are you on the right side?
Before we get to the picks, make sure you check out our NFL
handicapping forums pronto! It's a great tool to use as you find what other
cappers are thinking, while also getting different perspectives on the games.
Don't miss out.
Arizona Cardinals vs. New York Jets
Yeah, I'm backing the Jets with my NFL football picks, one
week after getting embarrassed 49-19 by the New England Patriots. What are you
going to do about it?
Truth is, while both teams are 4-7 SU on the season, the
Cardinals have won just one of their five road matchups and are on a miserable
seven-game losing streak.
Ryan Lindley has taken over the starting QB job, and though
he threw for over 300 yards against the St. Louis Rams last weekend, he was
also picked off four times and failed to account for a touchdown. The Jets may
be a forgettable #19 in total defense, but their pass defense (211.3 YPG
allowed, #7 in NFL) has actually been strong for the most part.
If New York comes out like I think they will, pissed off
after a god awful showing against the Patriots, they should be able to stop
Lindley in his tracks.
The Jets have performed relatively well after losses, going
5-2 ATS over their last seven games following straight up defeats. They'll
tackle an Arizona team that's gone 1-6-1 ATS over their last eight games.
Rex Ryan's boys have also had some extra time to get ready
for this matchup and I'm of the belief they'll come out and beat the Cardinals
by at least a touchdown. As such, the NFL odds makers have set the spread at 4.5, and it is looking quite good at
NFL Pick: New York Jets -4.5
Read our "NFL Picks: Cardinals vs. Jets" for a full game preview.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Denver Broncos
Both the Buccaneers and Broncos are playing great football
right now, but no one's hotter than Denver.
Peyton Manning is playing as well as he ever has and has led
the Broncos to six straight wins, four of which were on the road.
Now Denver returns to Mile High, where they're classified as
nine-point favorites in the NFL odds. Seems a little high up against an upstart
Bucs team, but the Broncos are #4 in both total offense and defense and could
very well overwhelm Tampa Bay.
So, instead I'm going with a play on the total. The OVER has
gone 7-1 in Tampa Bay's last eight games and 5-2 in Denver's last seven. Can
you tell which way I'm leaning?
In years past I would've been wary on backing an OVER when
the Buccaneers are involved, but Josh Freeman has been terrific and they have a
lot of playmakers surrounding him now. Doug Martin is a bonafide star now and
Vincent Jackson and Mike Williams continue to make big catches downfield.
I feel like there's going to be a lot of significant-yardage
plays in this game, with two confident passers chucking it to
Martin/Jackson/Williams on one side and Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker on the
other. Therefore, let's not be scared away from this reasonably high total.
NFL Pick: OVER 50
Be sure to browse through our NFL section for more picks on
Week 13's slate. Best of luck to all!