were on the right track in Week 6 once again as the Bills-Cardinals and Bengals-Browns contests surprised a number
of bettors. See what teams won't receive a vote of confidence in the form of our NFL picks this week.
Let’s have a look at the fades for Week 7:
Normally, in this ‘avoid’ section we’re staying away from
teams that are playing poorly and are in a freefall. The Baltimore Ravens are
5-1 and are tied for the best record in the AFC, but they’re nonetheless a team you’ll want
to be careful with in the next few weeks.
The Ravens are now carried by their offense as their
defense is no longer the vaunted stoppage unit that we’ve known in the past.
You might be surprised to hear that their defense ranks 28th overall
and is allowing a whopping 136.5 rushing yards per game (26th).
Keep in mind that they’ve been playing without last
year’s MVP candidate Terrell Suggs, but this past weekend they lost at least
two more key contributors. Pro Bowlers Ray Lewis and Lardarius Webb are both
out – likely for the season – and tackle Haloti Ngata has a sprained knee
(although he’s playing through it). The Ravens defense has already been bad
this season, but now they’re without their best cornerback, their best player
and their heart and soul leader.
They’ve given up 441 rushing yards over the last two
games. They play the Houston Texans this week, and this is probably a spot to
avoid Baltimore. Going forward, keep in mind that their defense has been
Don’t Touch: Jaguars-Raiders
Good luck to you if you’re betting this game.
The Jaguars-Raiders Week 7 contest might be one of the
ugliest that we'll see all year, and it’s probably one of the toughest to
On one hand, you’ve got the 1-4 Raiders who might get
blown out (as they did by Denver two weeks ago) or they might be competitive
(as they were last week in Atlanta). On the other hand, can you really count on
Jacksonville to go across the country and steal a win on the road? Are they
even capable of that?
The Jags should look crisp as they’re coming off a bye, but I’ll give the edge here slightly to Oakland because they’ve been close in
their two home games this season. In any case, stay away from this game as it’s
an ugly one to bet.
Don’t Touch: Titans-Bills
This is a game that I’m going to be avoiding this week.
For both teams, it looks like all is good in the neighborhood after
stress-relieving wins last week, but I’m not sold that one win makes all the
For the Bills, they should have lost in Arizona when Jay
Feely missed a very makeable game-winning 38-yard field goal at the end of the
fourth quarter – especially after hitting a 61-yarder. For Tennessee, they also
should have lost to Pittsburgh, who mismanaged the end of the game and also
just missed a game-winning field goal.
The Titans defense is
still brutal and should get exposed by Buffalo. Even so, the Bills run
defense is the worst in the NFL and that’s likely to be exposed by Chris
Johnson. Adding all of that up, it feels like a tough game to handicap so I’ll
stay away. I don’t see value on this line one way or the other