Week 6 NFL Fades & Picks to Avoid

Which Week 6 matchups are we avoiding at all cost with our NFL picks? Find out which games we believe are sending up red flags, warning NFL bettors to steer clear. You will be thanking us later, we promise.

Our Week 5 fades proved fairly useful as the Kansas City Chiefs were quite the wreck once again, barely mustering six points at home, while the Seattle Seahawks upended the Carolina Panthers in a surprising result. 

Let’s have a look at Week 6 and rundown the teams and games to avoid: 

Avoid: Tennessee Titans

The Tennessee Titans are not only a team to avoid, they’re a prime candidate to bet against. Quite literally, nothing is going right for the Titans right now and the only reason this team isn’t under heavier scrutiny is because they play in Tennessee. Had they played in New York, the likes of Chris Johnson, Mike Munchak and Jake Locker would be getting shredded. 

Starting with Chris Johnson, he’s been absolutely abysmal since signing his contract extension last season. He’s averaging just 2.9 yards per carry and has amassed a whopping 210 yards through five games. What’s scary is that 141 of them came in Week 4 against Houston, which means he’s collected 69 rushing yards in the other four games combined (1.44 yards per carry). 

Not only can the Titans not score, they can’t stop anyone either. They’ve allowed at least 30 points per week and an average of 36.2 points per game this season. They’re on pace to allow more points than any team in NFL history. That’s a problem when they’re only averaging 17.6 points per game themselves. 

Throw in the fact that quarterbacks Matt Hasselbeck and Locker both stink, and the passing game isn’t functioning, and you have a Titans team that could very well be picking first overall at the 2013 NFL Draft. 

Even if they do cover the spread this week or win, there is literally no logical argument you can make as to why you would back them. Stay away from this team and better yet, bet against them.

Steelers vs. Titans Thursday Night Football Early Picks 

Don’t Touch: Bengals-Browns

These NFL odds look challenging right off the bat. Who in their right mind wants to bet the Cleveland Browns getting just one point? Even at home, you’d like to get at least a field goal. 

The Bengals have been an odd bunch. At 3-2, they’re better than many people projected they would be but they let a lot of people down when they lost at home to the Miami Dolphins last week. When you take a closer look at that game, you realize that turnovers did the Bengals in, which means realistically they could be 4-1. 

They’ve already beat Cleveland once this season but the Browns must feel like this will be one of their best chances to win a game this season. I’ve watched a number of Browns games this season (unfortunately) and they’ve been close, but no cigar many times. 

They held a 14-0 lead over the New York Giants last week before they started turning over the ball and handing out points. Against Baltimore two weeks ago, they held tough and had a chance to tie the game at the very end. They also should have defeated Philadelphia in Week 1. 

The Bengals are the better team in this spot but not by much. We should see a valiant effort from the Browns.

There are better bets on the board. This is a game I’d rather avoid this game with my NFL picks because I see this being a coin toss. 

If you cannot refrain from touching, like when as a child mom said, "That woodstove is hot; don't touch it". Then read what Mr. Suarez thinks about the match-up between Cincinnati and Cleavland.

Don’t Touch: Bills-Cardinals

At first blush, nobody in their right mind will be betting the Bills these days. They’ve been embarrassed two weeks in a row. Normally, one would assume that a team that’s humiliated would rebound with a stronger effort the next week but not the Bills. One week after giving up 45 second half points to the New England Patriots, the Bills became the first team in NFL history to allow both 300 yards rushing and 300 yards passing in the same game en route to a blowout loss in San Francisco.

Their defense, which spent $100 million on Mario Williams this past offseason and used their first-round pick on cornerback Stephon Gilmore, has been nothing short of awful. However, the Arizona Cardinals offense might make them look good. 

Arizona’s offensive line is brutal right now and quarterback Kevin Kolb has been sacked 16 times in the last two games. That probably makes this game more even than most people think. 

Do I trust the Bills on the road again getting 4.5 points? No. Do I trust Arizona at home laying 4.5 points? No. I like the Cards in situations when they are undervalued and I’m getting points with them.