Forrest Gump said, "Life is like a box of chocolates. You never know what you're going to get." The same can be said for the up-&-down Saskatchewan Roughriders this season.
BC Lions (56) at Edmonton (-3½)
Friday, Oct 17, 9:00 p.m. (ET)
The Eskimos are coming off a nice +5.0 point road underdog win over the Lions at BC Place and prior to the Lions' lost last weekend, they won five in a row. This is a good letdown spot at home here for Edmonton and great line value on the Lions.
In fact, when Edmonton is a -3½ to -6½ point favorite and allowed 20 points or less against in their last game, Edmonton is 3-7-0 ATS in this role since ’96. The last five games for the Lions have gone under the total and they are coming off twi ATS loses.
Ron’s forecast: BC-24 Edmonton-20
Lions at Eskimos History: 8-12-0 (ATS) 8-12 (SU) 9-11-0 (O/U/P)
ATSCalculator.com: BC to win by 1.87 pts and the O/U to land on 54.74.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When British Columbia plays at home or on the road during the last five years after losing their last game by seven points or less, the Lions are 13-6-0 ATS in this spot.
Montreal (-8½) at Toronto (54)
Saturday, Oct 18, 3:00 p.m. (ET)
The Alouettes got their revenge on Thanksgiving Day vs. the Tiger Cats and seem to be back on track after that loss to Hamilton two weeks ago. The Argonauts on the other hand have played in two competitive games and the Don Matthews system must be implemented, which explains the Argos' competitiveness the last two weeks.
The Argos could be using this game vs. the Alouettes as their own little Grey Cup, as this will be the closest thing to a playoff game they will get the rest of the season and could be a stepping stone to rebuilding for next year. If anybody can stop Anthony Calvillo, it’s Don Matthews, as they go back a long way in their heydays at Montreal. However, the Alouettes are focused on being the power of the East and the Argos don’t have the weapons to counter react.
When Toronto plays as an underdog during the last three years and lost their last game by nine points or more, the Argos are 3-8 SU in this role.
Ron’s forecast: Montreal-32 Toronto-16
Alouettes at Argonauts History: 13-9-0 (ATS) 12-10 (SU) 7-14-1 (O/U/P)
ATSCalculator.com: Montreal to win by 26.56 pts and the o/u to land on 55.47.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When any CFL home team is off a division game with seven days of rest, coming off back-to-back SU loss and off a game in which they scored 17 points or less, the home team is 2-10-0 ATS in this spot since ’96.
Winnipeg (54½) at Calgary (-10½)
Saturday, Oct 18, 6:30 p.m. (ET)
Calgary is coming off a blowout win over Saskatchewan and this is the perfect spot to back the road underdog, especially when it’s in the double-digit range. Winnipeg has the weapons on offense to compete with Calgary and if the Bombers can get Joe Smith rolling, this could be an upset special straight up for Doug Berry’s boys.
Ron’s forecast: Winnipeg-23 Calgary-19
Blue Bomber at Stampeders History: 3-10-0 (ATS) 2-11 (SU) 7-6-0 (O/U/P)
ATSCalculator.com: Calgary to win by 12.82 pts and the O/U to land on 53.24.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When any CFL team plays at home on Saturday, the toal is 54½ or more, before a non-division game and coming off one Under, the Under is 9-2-1 for the home team in this situation since ’96.
Hamilton (54) at Saskatchewan (-13)
Sunday, Oct 19, 3:00 p.m. (ET)
Talk about a roller coaster ride for the Saskatchewan Roughriders and their great fans. They tear up the league at the beginning of the year, and this was without their starting QB and head coach from last season and now you never know which Riders team will show up on game day.
Hamilton has never played well on the road and they are coming off a 44-11 loss to Montreal on Thanksgiving Day in La Belle Province, so there’s a potential “bounce back” game in store for Bellefeuille and Company. Saskatchewan got their lunch handed to them last Monday by Calgary, 42-5, and when the Roughriders score seven points or less in a game, they are 0-11 SU in their next game!
I can’t believe I’m going to type this, but take Hamilton and the points in this one!
Ron’s forecast: Hamilton 27 Saskatchewan 26
Tiger-Cat at Roughriders History: 3-9-0 (ATS) 3-9 (SU) 7-5-0 (O/U/P)
ATSCalculator.com: Saskatchewan to win by 4.71 pts and the o/u to land on 54.53.
ATSDatabase.com Stat of the Game: When any CFL team plays as a +10 or more road underdog after a conference game, vs. a non-division opponent and coming off one ATS loss, the road underdog is 8-4-0 ATS in this role since 1996.