Florida's 10-point win on Saturday left a mark on the books but if the public is wrong about tonight's Monday Night Football game between the Jets and Dolphins, they'll get it back.
It was an interesting week for the house, as they did well on some games, got killed on others and narrowly avoided getting killed on teasers. I spoke with the head linesman at BookMaker, who got into some specifics with me.
The worst game on the card for the house was in the NFL, Atlanta/San Francisco. Big sharp action and the public were all on Atlanta, as was yours truly as well. And as many people have already guessed, the 10-point win by Florida in Florida/LSU was a colossal disaster for the books, with the big back-and-forth live movements leaving the house wide open for a middle, which was exactly what wound up happening.
The books made some of it back on Washington/Carolina, which was their best game on the card, and also on New England/Denver, as sharp action was split on that one, but with the public huge on the Pats.
Teasers also turned out ok for the books, thanks to Cincinnati/Baltimore. Most teaser plays were winners, but there was huge teaser action on the Ravens, and the Bengals’ outright win caused a big swing in favor of the house.
In other games of note, a ton of sharp action came in on Seattle just before kickoff, costing the books big. And while the public was on Indianapolis, the books did ok on that one beating a lot of sharp money that was on Tennessee. I was a bit surprised to find that out, as Justin7, a leading member of SBR’s own Brain Trust of Sharpness, identified the Colts as one of the sharpest plays on the card in our betting preview earlier in the week.
The Monday night showdown between the Jets and Miami is shaping up to be an interesting one. Sharp money so far is split down the middle, while the public is on the Jets huge, by a margin of nearly 4/1. My source would normally expect the sharps to lean more towards Miami than they currently are.