The Kings from Los Angeles are racing towards the playoff
racking up four straight wins but I expect them to meet an immoveable object in
the Vancouver Canucks at the Rogers Arena.
Record 11-12 making 1.02 units
NHL free pick on the
Vancouver Canucks as the take on the Los Angeles Kings set to start at 10:00 PM
ET.
My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a
high probability that the Vancouver Canucks will win this game easily. The Kings are
surging in the Western Conference standings, winners of four straight games and
eight of the past 10. However, Vancouver has been strong all season sporting
the best record in the NHL at 51-17-9 for 111 points. They are even hotter than
the Kings winning four straight games and 11 of the past 12 games. The Canucks
are 25-8-5 in home games this season.
Stats and Rankings
Vancouver is the best team in the NHL and a dominant reason why
is that they rank best in scoring offense averaging 3.19 goals per game. Making
matters worse for the other 29 teams in the NHL is that Vancouver also has the best
scoring defense allowing just 171 goals for a 2.22 goals against average.
The Kings rank 26th in scoring offense averaging 2.63 goals per
game and they will find it extremely difficult to have many solid scoring
opportunities in this game. The Los Angeles Kings can matchup well on the defensive end
ranking fourth best in scoring defense allowing 2.36 goals per game. Vancouver
has too much on the offensive end for the Kings defense to contain for 60
minutes.
Supporting System
Supporting this graded play on the Canucks is a system that has
produced a record of 22-7 for 76% winners since 1996. Play against any team against the
money line after allowing one goal or less in their previous game facing an
opponent after allowing one goal or less in four straight games. The Kings are
coming off 2-0 shutout win over Edmonton and
Vancouver’s defense has been stifling allowing one goal exact in four
straight games.
Here
is a second supporting system that has produced a 33-11 record for 75% winners
since 2005. Play on home teams against the money line having won 12 or more of
their last 15 games facing an opponent after having won four or five of their
last six games.
Game
Situations and Simulator Projections
The
simulator shows a high probability that Vancouver will allow two or fewer goals
in this game. In past games where the Canucks have allowed two or fewer goals
they are an outstanding 39-6 making 30.8 units this season, 117-15 making 102.1
units spanning the past three seasons, and 433-88 making 372 units since 1996.
Moreover, the Canucks are 30-9 against the money line making 17.8 units per one
unit wagered after having won four or five of their last six games this season;
25-7 against the money line making 14.2 units per one unit wagered after a two
game unbeaten streak this season.
Take
the Vancouver Canucks.