The Kings from Los Angeles are racing towards the playoff racking up four straight wins but I expect them to meet an immoveable object in the Vancouver Canucks at the Rogers Arena.

Record 11-12 making 1.02 units

NHL free pick on the Vancouver Canucks as the take on the Los Angeles Kings set to start at 10:00 PM ET.  

My proprietary sports handicapping database and simulator shows a high probability that the Vancouver Canucks will win this game easily. The Kings are surging in the Western Conference standings, winners of four straight games and eight of the past 10. However, Vancouver has been strong all season sporting the best record in the NHL at 51-17-9 for 111 points. They are even hotter than the Kings winning four straight games and 11 of the past 12 games. The Canucks are 25-8-5 in home games this season.

Stats and Rankings

Vancouver is the best team in the NHL and a dominant reason why is that they rank best in scoring offense averaging 3.19 goals per game. Making matters worse for the other 29 teams in the NHL is that Vancouver also has the best scoring defense allowing just 171 goals for a 2.22 goals against average.

The Kings rank 26th in scoring offense averaging 2.63 goals per game and they will find it extremely difficult to have many solid scoring opportunities in this game. The Los Angeles Kings can matchup well on the defensive end ranking fourth best in scoring defense allowing 2.36 goals per game. Vancouver has too much on the offensive end for the Kings defense to contain for 60 minutes.

Supporting System

Supporting this graded play on the Canucks is a system that has produced a record of 22-7 for 76% winners since 1996. Play against any team against the money line after allowing one goal or less in their previous game facing an opponent after allowing one goal or less in four straight games. The Kings are coming off 2-0 shutout win over Edmonton and  Vancouver’s defense has been stifling allowing one goal exact in four straight games.

Here is a second supporting system that has produced a 33-11 record for 75% winners since 2005. Play on home teams against the money line having won 12 or more of their last 15 games facing an opponent after having won four or five of their last six games.

Game Situations and Simulator Projections

The simulator shows a high probability that Vancouver will allow two or fewer goals in this game. In past games where the Canucks have allowed two or fewer goals they are an outstanding 39-6 making 30.8 units this season, 117-15 making 102.1 units spanning the past three seasons, and 433-88 making 372 units since 1996. Moreover, the Canucks are 30-9 against the money line making 17.8 units per one unit wagered after having won four or five of their last six games this season; 25-7 against the money line making 14.2 units per one unit wagered after a two game unbeaten streak this season.

Take the Vancouver Canucks.