I would probably be the last person to recommend and exact series score
props (since the value doesn’t really seem to be there on something that’s so
hard to predict) but given how dominant the Los Angeles Kings have been, this
one might be worth a look.
Stanley Cup Finals
Correct Series Score: Kings 4-1
Looking back at the New Jersey Devils, they needed seven
games to dispose of the Florida Panthers, then took care of the Philadelphia
Flyers rather easily - although the Flyers clearly had a letdown in the second
round - and then the Devils cracked the code of the New York Rangers defense.
Overall, one might say they haven’t really faced anything close to what they’re
about to see.
The bigger concern for New Jersey is that when they were
actually tested in Rounds 1 and 3, they seemed to play well only in spurts.
They took several periods off against the Panthers and it cost them, and they
did the same against the Rangers in the Eastern Conference final. The reason
why I see this being such a short series is because the Kings are the exact
opposite: they’re a relentless team that plays with a high-energy forecheck and
never takes a game off.
The Kings have already beat teams with better defensive
prowess than the Devils and they’ve handled better offenses as well. I don’t
see this series lasting very long, so the five-game prop is one that I like:
After Four Games: Kings +140
The Kings have lost just twice in the playoffs so far,
which means that they haven’t been trailing or tied in any series after four
games. The Devils have twice been tied and only once been leading after four
One of the main reasons I like this prop is because the
Kings will get to start on the road for the first two games – exactly how they
have all playoffs long. To date, they are 8-0 on the road this postseason
compared to 4-2 at home. Since they get to start the Stanley Cup Finals on the
road, the pressure will once again be on their opponent and they’ll be allowed
to roll in with an opportunity to steal home-ice advantage in the first two
games. Since that’s been their comfort zone, look for them to continue to do
what they’ve done and that’s take an early control of the series. If that’s the
case, there’s a good chance they’re ahead after four games in this series.
Game 1 Additional
Puck Line: Kings -1 +160
Laying -120 with the Kings on the road for Game 1 isn’t
too risky of a proposition as they’ll be rested and they’ve already shown that
a long postseason layoff is a problem for them. At the same time, the payout
laying a full puck seems far more tantalizing.
So far this postseason, the Kings have won all three of
their Game 1’s by two goals each time. Meanwhile, the Devils have lost their
last two Game 1’s against New York and Philadelphia and barely hung on to win
their Game 1 against Florida in a game they were badly outplayed.
Kings are a very experienced team with the better offense and the better
goaltender. Their forecheck should be able to expose a questionable Devils
defense this series and look for that to start right from Game 1.