2011 NHL Entry Draft Betting Preview

By: | www.sbrforum.com

What, you thought the NHL betting season ended with the Stanley Cup playoffs? Or with Wednesday night’s regular-season awards ceremony? You would be wrong. 


While there are always NHL 2012 Stanley Cup futures available at Bodog, the true final NHL betting prop to close the 2010-11 season happens this weekend with the NHL draft in St. Paul, Minn. And Bodog has unveiled several betting options for it.

Adam LarssonFor the second straight season, the Edmonton Oilers hold the No. 1 overall spot in the draft. And unlike last year when the Oilers didn’t really hesitate in taking Windsor Spitfires left wing Taylor Hall with the top pick, there is some uncertainty heading into this year’s draft.

Many think the Oilers, if they don’t trade the pick, will go with Ryan Nugent-Hopkins, a center from Red Deer of the Western Hockey League. If Nugent-Hopkins is taken at No. 1 he will be the first player from the WHL to be selected with the top pick since Ottawa took defenseman Chris Phillips of Prince Albert in 1996. And Nugent-Hopkins is the Bodog betting odds favorite at -190 to go No. 1 overall. There’s no doubt he is talented, as he led the WHL with 75 assists (to go with 31 goals) this season. But there are a few questions about him. First off, he’s only 165 pounds and certainly will need to bulk up to play in the NHL. And secondly, some wonder if he’s too much like Hall. Some think Nugent-Hopkins would be better served by playing a final year of junior hockey and the Oilers aren’t really close to contention and could allow him to do so.

Thus the top NHL pick could be big Swedish defenseman Adam Larsson (6-foot-3, 200 pounds), who is rated the top player in the European rankings (Nugent-Hopkins is No. 1 among North American players). Larsson is the second-favorite to go No. 1 at +160 in the hockey odds. If Larsson goes first, he would be the first Swede to do so since Mats Sundin went to the Quebec Nordiques in 1989. Larsson starred as a teenager despite playing amongst men in the Swedish Elitserien league. He also represented his country at the 2010 and 2011 World Junior Championship, finishing as the team's highest-scoring defender at the tournament this past season with one goal and four points. He is considered NHL ready now, while Nugent-Hopkins probably isn’t. Edmonton could certainly use help on defense as it allowed 3.17 goals per game last season -- the 28th highest total in the League. The Oilers also may consider Gabriel Landeskog (+1500 to go No. 1) or Jonathan Huberdeau (+2000), who are forwards playing in Canadian juniors.

The 2011 draft isn’t considered a good one for goalies. There’s a chance that not a single netminder goes in the first round. Bodog offers a prop on the over/under number of goalies to go in Round 1 at just ½, with the under a huge -800 favorite. By comparison the over/under for first-round forwards is 19 ½ and defensemen at 12 ½. The top goalie prospects are American John Gibson and Finland’s Samu Perhonen.

In addition, you can also bet at Bodog on which position – forward, defenseman or goalie – that all of the Canadian teams will chose with their top pick in the draft, including the new Winnipeg (formerly Atlanta) franchise. A forward is a big favorite for all the clubs except Stanley Cup runner-up Vancouver, which has a forward at -110 and a defenseman at -110.


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