NBA Finals MVP Odds & Favorites 2025: SGA, Tatum Favorites Ahead of Second Round
Many tickets have been booked for the second round of the NBA playoffs, which means the NBA Finals MVP odds field is narrowing. It's no surprise to see the leaders of the NBA championship odds favorites remain at the top of the oddsboard as each team awaits its next opponent.
Oklahoma City's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has a slight edge over Boston's Jayson Tatum, with the Thunder currently the favorites to snatch the Larry O'Brien Trophy-sized crown from the Celtics. They're the only players trading at odds shorter than 5/1.
Will it be Gilgeous-Alexander or Tatum hoisting the coveted individual award, in addition to a championship trophy? Read on as we discuss the top contenders, including a favorite from the field.
đ NBA Finals MVP odds 2025
NBA Finals MVP odds from our best sports betting sites.
đ NBA Finals MVP odds favorite 2025
đŠī¸ Shai Gilgeous-Alexander NBA Finals MVP odds (+165)
It's hard to argue against SGA being the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP. He's the runaway NBA MVP odds favorite and just led the Thunder to a historically impressive regular season, locking in the sixth-most wins in NBA history (68).
The Thunder still have a gauntlet to get through in the Western Conference, though. They'll have to take on either Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets or James Harden and the Los Angeles Clippers in the second round. Further, there's the prospect of the seasoned Golden State Warriors waiting on the other side.
While Gilgeous-Alexander has put together an electric season, and the Thunder rank top three in both offensive (120.3) and defensive rating (107.5), these odds are wildly short.
SGA led the NBA in win shares (16.7), but OKC still needs to win three more series, and it's not like the Thunder aren't loaded with other potential NBA Finals MVP winners. It's not crazy to think that Jalen Williams or Chet Holmgren could give him some competition for the award.
Although I think Gilgeous-Alexander has a strong shot at winning NBA Finals MVP, this isn't a price I like with a $10 winning bet paying just a $16.50 profit.
Best odds: +165 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 37.74%
đ Jayson Tatum NBA Finals MVP odds (+270)
If you think I'm hating on SGA's price for NBA Finals MVP, close your eyes because I cannot fathom why Tatum's odds are this short already. He was the favorite last year and couldn't even take home the award when the Celtics entered the playoffs as everyone's pick to win the NBA Finals.
Thus, in a year with a tougher field, in which Boston isn't even the No. 1 seed in the East, why are Tatum's odds already so short that they pay just a $27 profit on a $10 winning bet? Yes, he's the best player on one of the best teams in the NBA ... but SGA's odds should be even shorter if Tatum's are +270.
Tatum averaged his fewest PPG this season of the last four years (26.8), had his lowest effective field-goal percentage of the last three years (53.7%), shot worse from 3-point range this season than any other year of his career (34.3%), and tied his career-high in turnovers per game (2.9).
Tatum also accounted for fewer win shares this season (9.5) than in each of his previous three campaigns. He's obviously still an All-Star talent and capable of winning the award, but I just don't think he's a smart play at a price this much shorter than Donovan Mitchell.
Best odds: +270 via DraftKings | Implied probability: 27.03%
đ NBA Finals MVP candidate to watch
đ Stephen Curry NBA Finals MVP odds (+2300)
Stephen Curry eliminated the Houston Rockets in the 2015 Western Conference Finals en route to his first NBA Finals triumph with Golden State. Much has changed in the last decade, but in that span, the Rockets have strengthened their core, raized the roster, rebuilt, and gotten back to the NBA playoffs.
However, despite Houston being the No. 2 seed in the West, they're on the brink of elimination once again and there's one man to thank for that: Curry.
The superstar point guard has been otherworldly in the playoffs, averaging 26 points per game and carrying the Warriors on his back as the roster tries to regain health. Golden State is the most experienced team in the remaining field, and with a core of Jimmy Butler, Draymond Green, and Curry, can anyone count the Dubs out?
At his best - which is seemingly every time he takes the floor in the postseason - "Chef Curry" is unplayable. He is still playing at an elite level at 37, which is why I believe he's one of the best value bets on the board.
Best odds: +2300 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 4.17%
đ¤ NBA Finals MVP AI prediction
For entertainment purposes, we asked ChatGPT to analyze historical trends and NBA stats before predicting the winner of this year's NBA Finals MVP. Our AI prediction projects Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will win NBA Finals MVP.
đĨī¸ AI NBA Finals MVP prediction: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
đ Dominant season performance: SGA led the Thunder to a historic 68â14 record - the sixth-best in NBA history - while averaging 32.7 points per game
đ Team's championship contention: The Thunder are the current favorites to win the NBA title, and as the team's cornerstone, SGA's performance is integral to their title aspirations
đ Top betting odds for NBA Finals MVP: SGA leads the betting odds for NBA Finals MVP at +165, ahead of other contenders like Jayson Tatum (+270) and Donovan Mitchell (+700), reflecting strong confidence in his potential to secure the award
đ¤ Betting takeaway: ChatGPT's AI prediction would mean SGA (+165) winning his first NBA Finals MVP. ChatGPT is a large language model and not specifically designed for predicting sporting events, so these projections should be viewed as entertainment or a supplementary data point for your NBA Finals MVP betting research.
đĸ NBA Finals MVP opening odds
Odds via DraftKings.
- Jayson Tatum: +600
- Jaylen Brown: +900
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: +1000
- Nikola Jokic: +1000
- Luka Doncic: +1200
- Joel Embiid: +1300
- Jalen Brunson: +1300
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: +1600
- Anthony Edwards: +1800
- Stephen Curry: +3500
đ Past NBA Finals MVP award winners
| Team | Year | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown | 2024 | +700 |
| Nikola Jokic | 2023 | -350 |
| Stephen Curry | 2022 | -110 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2021 | +275 |
| LeBron James | 2020 | -160 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2019 | +245 |
| Kevin Durant | 2018 | -135 |
| Kevin Durant | 2017 | +190 |
| LeBron James | 2016 | +225 |
| Andre Iguodala | 2015 | +12500 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2014 | +1800 |
| LeBron James | 2013 | -250 |
đĄ How to bet on NBA Finals MVP
NBA Finals MVP odds are a way for sportsbooks to set the probability of a specific player winning the MVP award for the NBA Finals. These odds represent the sportsbook's estimation of a player's likelihood to be named the NBA Finals MVP based on various factors such as performance, team success, and historical trends.
The odds for each player are determined based on a combination of factors, including their regular-season and playoff performance, team success, historical trends, public opinion, and betting patterns. Sportsbooks adjust the odds throughout the series based on the players' performances and other relevant factors.
The shorter the odds, the more likely the player is to win the award in the eyes of the sportsbooks. If a player is +260 to win NBA Finals MVP, that means they have a greater chance of winning it than a player that is +1700. However, a bet pays out more if the odds are longer.
It's important to note that odds are not a guarantee but rather a representation of the sportsbook's estimation of the probability of a particular outcome. Different sportsbooks may offer slightly different odds, so it's advisable to compare odds from multiple sources to find the best value.
đ How to read NBA Finals MVP odds
Reading NBA Finals MVP odds involves understanding the implied probability and potential payouts associated with each player's odds of winning the Finals MVP. NBA Finals MVP odds are typically presented in American odds.
These use plus and minus symbols to indicate underdogs and favorites, respectively. For instance, if a player's odds are +500, a $100 bet would result in a $500 profit if the player wins, while odds of -200 would mean that a $200 bet is required to win $100 in profit.
When reading NBA Finals MVP odds, lower odds indicate that a player has a higher probability of winning the award, while higher odds suggest that a player is considered less likely to win. Bettors should consider factors such as a player's performance and narrative appeal when evaluating NBA Finals MVP odds.
It's also important to compare odds across different sportsbooks to identify the best value bets. Additionally, bettors should keep in mind that Finals MVP odds can fluctuate throughout the year based on player performance, injuries, and other factors, so staying informed and monitoring odds changes can be crucial for making informed betting decisions.
â NBA Finals MVP FAQs
Who is the favorite to win the 2025 NBA Finals MVP?
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP. His odds are +165, which imply a 37.74% win probability.
Who won the NBA Finals MVP last year?
Boston Celtics All-Star Jaylen Brown won NBA Finals MVP last year. Brown's shortest odds of -240 before Boston's series-clinching Game 5 win implied a 70.59% win probability.
When will the 2025 NBA Finals MVP be announced?
The 2025 NBA Finals begin on June 5, 2025. The NBA Finals MVP will be announced following the conclusion of the series.
đ° NBA betting odds pages
đ Best NBA betting sites
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