There’s going to be a clear underdog on the pitch when 5 chilli HOT Philadelphia Union take on sputtering Montreal, but there’s no way I’m throwing the Impact a bone.

Last week Jack Hackworth's resurgent (and rejuvenated) Philadelphia stunned L.A. Galaxy, 2-1, away and kept their pedal to the metal with a 3-0 home win over Paul Mariner's rock bottom Toronto on Sunday. I don't expect Montreal, even with their raft of “new” arrivals, to throw a monkey wrench into the Union’s parade when they meet this weekend at the PPL Park.

Italian Stallions & Future Shocks

Alessandro NestaMontreal look to be a club building for the future, but they have immediate problems that need to be addressed ASAFP. They are under the financial cloud of inadequate attendance records since they moved back to the newly-renovated Saputo Stadium on June 16, and to stop the rot, the Impact board have slashed ticket prices for the rest of the season
to keep the turnstiles spinning. Montreal will need a decent gate on every home game as they have speculated to accumulate and have added “veteran” (a.k.a. thirtysomething) Italian star Alessandro Nesta, formerly of Serie A side AC Milan, on an 18-month deal. The 36-year-old central defender, who grossed 78 caps for his national side, joins his fellow former international teammate Marco Di Vaio on the Canadian team.

Even if Nesta hasn't graced the pitch, he seems to be having a talismanic effect on the Impact as they ended a three-game losing streak with a 2-1 victory over the Columbus Crew on Sunday, thanks to a  Patrice Bernier penalty kick in the 89th minute. It had looked to be YET another rough ride for the Canadians as Milan Mirosevic broke the deadlock 64 minutes in for Columbus, but Zarek Valentin got Montreal (6-11-3) even with a tying goal in the 78th minute before Bernier (utterly unlike the English national side) won a game with a penalty. The best odds on Montreal stringing together back to back wins will be on SBR forum when they are released, but I don’t see it happening.

Absence doesn’t make the goals any harder!

Any win is a good result, and any win when on a losing skid is a great result, but kudos (and momentum) come Montreal’s way as the Impact played most of the Columbus game one man short, after Jeb Brovsky was shown a (justified) red card just 19 minutes in for elbowing Milovan Mirosevic in the back of the head.

Also AWOL for the Impact were captain Davy Arnaud and midfielder Felipe Martins, who were both sat on the naughty step (for one-game) after each received a fifth yellow card of the season during last Wednesday night's 3-1 loss to Sporting Kansas City. Maybe suspensions are the way to lift the Impact; they’ll certainly hope so as Sanna Nyassi will be suspended for Montreal's game in Philadelphia, following HIS fifth yellow card of the season for a hard tackle late in the first half against Columbus. Whatever his absence does to the Impact and however you want to bet, the most up to date soccer odds will be on SBR forum. You might even want to have a mini punt on a red card being brandished in the game against Philadelphia.  

Despite Montreal’s streak busting win, Phily are the inform side

Sunday saw Freddy Adu, Gabriel Gomez and Antoine Hoppenot all score as the Philadelphia Union beat Toronto FC 3-0 and winning consecutive MLS games for the first time since mid-April.

Credit where credit’s due, since John Hackworth became interim coach of the Union (on 13th June) Philadelphia have scored 10 of their team's 18 goals this season (in just five MLS games). Prior to the first coming of a messiah called Jack, the Union had one of the saddest offenses in the league, scoring a mere eight goals in 11 games.

Give em five!

Those wins for each team mean that Philadelphia are WWLWL while Monty are WLLLW, in their last five. Hardly definitive stats but you should be aware that Philly have scored in their last four games, a run stretching back to a 1-0 loss to DC United on 17th June.  What’s more that goal friendly run included a 3-0 and a 4-0 victory (3-0 against Toronto and 4-0 against Sporting Kansas).

By comparison Montreal have been shut out twice in their last five, and by the same score; 3-0 against DC United and Toronto, in back to back defats. Some of my weekend beer money is going on this game going over 2.5 provided the odds are out there to tempt me. If you think I’m wrong you probably hadn’t noticed that in each of Montreal’s last three defeats they conceded three goals.

Maybe there’s something stronger in my coffee cup, but I feel full of confidence for the Union and I’m backing more of the same from Philadelphia as Montreal return (all too quickly) to losing ways. My recently acquired tasseography degree also tells me that Philadelphia will soon be above Montreal in the table.

Prediction: Philadelphia win (but Montreal get a consolation goal) 3-1.