After last weekend's parlay successes Mrs. Richardson wants me straight down at the bookies this Saturday morning to spin some more money out of the EPL, but it’s a fair from and easy set of fixtures.Let's gander at my reasoning.
Soccer Weekend Parlay 2
We all know that parlays (aka accumulators)
were invented by the bookmaker, for the bookmaker, these guys ain’t mugs after
all. So take this first piece of advice as the golden one, don’t be blinded by
the odds with accumulators, high odd are high for a reason. And if just one
game in your parlay doesn’t fall right into line, the whole thing falls apart.
High
odds, high risk, high reward
The sort of odds that might well turn the
greenhorn punter’s head is 20/1 on Liverpool, Arsenal & Tottenham all to win.
20/1 are indeed tasty odds but, despite the fact that I reckon Arsenal will
beat city, I really do think that that is a coin toss of a match and I wouldn’t
feel comfortable sitting on the sofa down the local watching the results roll
in if part of my parlay depended on that result. Man City are 4/5 favourites to
win that game while an Arsenal win is at 15/4.
You can also get a considerably more calm
4/1 on both Manchesters winning, that might tempt you in light of Arsenal’s
odds but Manchester United face Liverpool, and despite the 8/5 odds on a United
win I don’t feel confident in both games doing as the odds demand, and I could
do without the stress stretched over Sunday afternoon.
Where’s
the money Mike?
Saturday is where the money is! I reckon
Chelsea are the banker of the weekend as they host stuttering Stoke, and in my
preview of that match http, I recommend “backing 3-0 and 4-0 at 8/1 and 16/1
respectively, but save some money for 7-0 at 175/1 to the home side in case
there is a repeat of the demolishing that Chelsea inflicted on Stoke back in
April 2010. The shortest odds on a Stoke win are for 1-0 at 22/1.”
So starting with the reigning League
champions beating the Potters, I’m adding Wigan beating Fulham and West Brom
beating Reading. Wigan are due a win and I am full of Boing-Boing confidence
that the Baggies will bounce back after their defeat at Fulham last weekend.
Fulham tends not to travel well and Wigan
will feel that they can get three points when they host the Cottagers. West
Brom will meet a Reading side who already look to be little boys lost in the
big league. The nasty fly in that parlay ointment is that West Brom have not
beaten Reading in their last three meeting (all in the FA Cup) dating back to
February 2010. Reading won (by one gaol) in their last two meetings and the Feb
2010 game ended 2-2. And Wigan have
not beaten Fulham in the last FIVE meetings (all in the league). Felling like a
contrary cat I’m taking that history as another reason to back West Brom, as the League and Cup are very different beasts. West Brom
are 4/5 to beat Reading and Wigan are 7/5 to beat Fulham. It may only be a 5/1
Parlay, but it’s a tasty enough morsel for Mrs Richardson.
I am also having a loose change bet on a
massive fivefold parlay. I’m backing Aston Villa to beat (pointless)
Southampton, Chelsea to beat Stoke (‘natch), Fulham to beat Wigan (I know),
Sunderland to get their first win of the season against West Ham and West Brom
to beat Reading (as above) at a massive 70/1, but that is simply a pipedream
bet (worth a punt though and I'll add it to my selections).